Morgan Hill Weather
Town • San Francisco Bay Area
Morgan Hill fills the narrow middle of the Santa Clara Valley about 10 miles south of San Jose. Here the Santa Cruz Mountains and the Diablo Range squeeze close together, and El Toro Peak rises right above the Civic Center. The city bills its downtown as South Silicon Valley's culinary and entertainment hub. The surrounding hills hold wineries on the Santa Clara Valley Wine Trail, Anderson Lake, and the entrance road to Henry W. Coe State Park.
Plan your week
10-Day Forecast
Hour by hour
Hourly Forecast
Current Conditions
Comfort Breakdown
Morgan Hill weather today and through the year
It's 52°F at Morgan Hill right now (feels like 49°F), with 4 mph wind and a comfort score of 76. Monday's forecast high at Morgan Hill is 55°F, 12°F below the mid November normal of 67°F. No fog in the forecast for today at Morgan Hill. In November, 14% of morning hours here are foggy on average. The best window today is 8 AM to 11 AM, at about 59°F with a 5 mph wind (comfort 83).
August is the warmest month at Morgan Hill, with an average high of 86°F. December is the coldest, with an average low of 38°F. January is the wettest month (4.7 in.), out of about 21.9 in. a year. By typical temperature, wind, cloud, humidity, and rain odds, the most comfortable months at Morgan Hill are June, September, and July. The best hours are usually 10 AM to 1 PM in June, 10 AM to 1 PM in September, and 9 AM to noon in July.
Morgan Hill sits roughly halfway between two sources of cool ocean air, San Francisco Bay to the north and Monterey Bay to the south. It is far enough from both that neither reaches it at full strength. On summer afternoons the sea breeze arrives late and already warmed, which is why the town runs hotter than San Jose and much hotter than the coast.
Forecast updated November 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM PST. Climate figures come from NOAA 1991-2020 normals. Hourly patterns come from NOAA's HRRR hourly analysis from September 2014 to April 2026.
What to expect at Morgan Hill in the next few days
No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.
Fog
No fog in the forecast for today at Morgan Hill. In November, 14% of morning hours here are foggy on average.
Best time to go
The best window today is 8 AM to 11 AM, at about 59°F with a 5 mph wind (comfort 83).
Best day this week
Of the next 7 days, Friday looks best for Morgan Hill, with a 58°F high and midday comfort near 72. Wednesday looks weakest (45).
Rain
Next good chance of rain: today (64%, about 0.08 in.).
Live weather map
Weather around Morgan Hill right now
Overcast and 52° at Morgan Hill right now.
About the live weather map for Morgan Hill
The map centers on Morgan Hill and stacks fog, satellite clouds, and precipitation radar on one view. Clouds come from the GOES-West satellite and rain from NOAA radar, and both show current conditions. Fog comes from our HRRR-based fog model, and the slider steps through its forecast for the next 12 hours.
Dots mark nearby places with their current temperature, colored by comfort score. Use the layer buttons to turn any layer off, or open the full map for every destination in the region.
Nearby Temperature Comparison
Conditions at nearby San Francisco Bay Area destinations
Tip: Bay Area temperatures can change by 20 to 30°F over a short distance because of microclimates.
Morgan Hill vs nearby places
Typical summer conditions compared with Morgan Hill, from the same NOAA HRRR hourly record. The list shows the closest places, then nearby places whose climate differs the most.
| Place | Distance | Summer afternoons | Morning fog | Afternoon wind | Compared with Morgan Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry W. Coe State Park | 8.2 mi | -1°F | 12% | 11 mph | about 41% more rain a year and less summer morning fog (12% vs 25% of morning hours) |
| Uvas Canyon County Park | 8.4 mi | -3°F | 26% | 7 mph | 1,230 ft higher |
| Gilroy | 9.8 mi | -1°F | 15% | 6 mph | a very similar climate |
| Watsonville | 16.2 mi | -17°F | 34% | 9 mph | about 17°F cooler on summer afternoons |
| Capitola | 19.7 mi | -16°F | 36% | 8 mph | about 16°F cooler on summer afternoons and more summer morning fog (36% vs 25% of morning hours) |
| Santa Cruz Main Beach | 23.2 mi | -20°F | 33% | 12 mph | about 20°F cooler on summer afternoons and windier summer afternoons (12 vs 8 mph) |
Places with a climate like Morgan Hill's
- Napa (88 mi away): nearly the same temperatures every month
- Oakville (99 mi away): nearly the same temperatures every month
- Healdsburg (122 mi away): similar temperatures through the year
Climate Dashboard
Current conditions vs. NOAA normals and recent destination baseline
What the Morgan Hill climate comparisons mean
These cards compare recent conditions at Morgan Hill with the available local baseline. Temperature and year-to-date rainfall use long-term normals when available. Fog, sunshine, wind, and comfort use the matching recent or modeled baseline identified on each card.
Positive and negative differences describe how Morgan Hill departs from its own usual pattern. They should not be read as a direct comparison with another city or as a forecast beyond the period shown.
Morgan Hill weather by month
August is the warmest month at Morgan Hill, with an average high of 86°F. December is the coldest, with an average low of 38°F. January is the wettest month (4.7 in.), out of about 21.9 in. a year. Morning fog peaks in July, when fog or low cloud covers 27% of the hours from 6 to 10 AM. July has the clearest middays, with clouds covering about 5% of the sky from 11 AM to 3 PM.
By typical temperature, wind, cloud, humidity, and rain odds, the most comfortable months at Morgan Hill are June, September, and July. The best hours are usually 10 AM to 1 PM in June, 10 AM to 1 PM in September, and 9 AM to noon in July.
| Month | Avg high | Avg low | Rain | Rainy days | Morning fog | Midday cloud | Afternoon wind | Daylight | Comfort |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 60°F | 38°F | 4.7 in | 9 | 16% | 27% | 6 mph | 9.9 h | 62 |
| Feb | 63°F | 41°F | 4.1 in | 8 | 13% | 22% | 7 mph | 10.8 h | 63 |
| Mar | 67°F | 43°F | 3.7 in | 8 | 15% | 26% | 7 mph | 11.9 h | 68 |
| Apr | 71°F | 45°F | 1.5 in | 5 | 13% | 21% | 8 mph | 13.1 h | 78 |
| May | 76°F | 49°F | 0.6 in | 3 | 14% | 16% | 8 mph | 14.2 h | 82 |
| Jun | 82°F | 52°F | 0.1 in | 2 | 21% | 7% | 8 mph | 14.7 h | 85 |
| Jul | 85°F | 56°F | 0.0 in | 0 | 27% | 5% | 8 mph | 14.5 h | 83 |
| Aug | 86°F | 55°F | 0.1 in | 1 | 26% | 6% | 8 mph | 13.5 h | 83 |
| Sep | 84°F | 53°F | 0.1 in | 1 | 19% | 9% | 7 mph | 12.3 h | 85 |
| Oct | 78°F | 48°F | 0.9 in | 4 | 16% | 11% | 7 mph | 11.1 h | 83 |
| Nov | 67°F | 42°F | 1.9 in | 6 | 14% | 17% | 6 mph | 10.1 h | 80 |
| Dec | 59°F | 38°F | 4.0 in | 8 | 23% | 27% | 6 mph | 9.6 h | 60 |
Morning fog is the share of hours from 6 to 10 AM with fog or low cloud. Midday cloud is the average from 11 AM to 3 PM, and afternoon wind is the average from 1 to 5 PM. The highlighted rows are the most comfortable months.
What makes Morgan Hill's weather different
When the fog burns off
10 AMwhen July fog usually thins (39% foggy at 6 AM)
Fog or low cloud covers Morgan Hill in 39% of 6 AM hours in July, the foggiest month. It usually thins to a third of that by 10 AM. February mornings are the least foggy (13%).
When the wind picks up
2 PMwhen afternoon wind builds, March–October
From March through October, wind at Morgan Hill typically builds after 2 PM. In June it peaks around 6 PM, averaging 10 mph with 16% of those hours windy, while mornings average 6 mph.
Hot hours
4 habove 85°F on a typical July afternoon
In July, the average temperature stays at or above 85°F for 4 hours a day.
Daylight
9.6–14.7 hof daylight, Dec to Jun
Days at Morgan Hill range from about 9.6 hours in December to 14.7 hours in June. In mid-June the sun sets around 8:28 PM, and in mid-December around 4:55 PM.
Seasons at Morgan Hill
- Warm seasonJun 28 – Sep 25 · highs 83°F+
The warm season lasts about 3 months, from Jun 28 to Sep 25, when the average high is 83°F or warmer. Highs peak around Aug 8 at about 86°F.
- Hot afternoonsJul 7 – Aug 29 · highs 85°F+
Average highs reach 85°F or more from Jul 7 to Aug 29.
- Cool seasonNov 27 – Feb 28 · highs 65°F or lower
The cool season runs from Nov 27 to Feb 28, when the average high is 65°F or lower. The coldest nights come around Dec 8, with an average low near 38°F.
- Rainy seasonNov 19 – Apr 5 · 80% of the year's rain
The rainy season runs from Nov 19 to Apr 5, when a day has at least a 20% chance of measurable rain. That stretch brings 80% of the year's rain.
The dark line marks today. Season dates come from the smoothed daily NOAA 1991-2020 normals. Counting from Oct. 1, a typical year has its first inch of rain by Nov 1 and half of its annual total by Jan 27.
Days per year and extremes (Nov 1, 2024 to Oct 31, 2026)
This record runs from Nov 1, 2024 to Oct 31, 2026. Over this record, Morgan Hill averaged 41 days a year at 90°F or hotter and 3 nights a year at or below freezing. It averaged 11 days a year with at least half an inch of rain and 1 afternoon with wind of 20 mph or more at 2 PM. About 90 mornings a year had 3 or more hours of fog or low cloud.
In the same record, the hottest day was Oct 4, 2026 (103°F) and the coldest night was Jan 28, 2025 (30°F). The wettest day was Feb 14, 2025 (2.29 in.), and the strongest 2 PM gust was 37 mph on Feb 13, 2025.
- 41days at 90°F or hotter
- 3nights at or below freezing
- 11days with ½ in. of rain or more
- 1afternoon with 20+ mph wind
- 90mornings with 3+ hours of fog or low cloud
- Hottest day103°FOct 4, 2026
- Coldest night30°FJan 28, 2025
- Wettest day2.29 inFeb 14, 2025
- Strongest 2 PM gust37 mphFeb 13, 2025
What shapes Morgan Hill's weather
The Santa Clara Valley at Morgan Hill is only a few miles wide. El Toro and the Santa Cruz Mountains wall it on the west, and the Diablo Range on the east. That pinch funnels the afternoon breeze, so the breeze tends to pick up in late afternoon and take the edge off the heat by evening.
Nights are where Morgan Hill differs most from the bayside cities. Dry air and clear skies let heat escape quickly, and cold air drains off the surrounding hills onto the valley floor. Summer evenings cool off sharply, and winter mornings bring frost to vineyards and open fields more often than in the urban core of San Jose.
Winter storms drop more rain on the western foothills toward Uvas Canyon than on the valley floor. The town gets most of its rain from November through March.
Tips for visiting Morgan Hill
Do outdoor plans in the morning
Summer afternoons are the hottest part of the day here. Hike, bike, or visit pick-your-own farms early and save the afternoon for downtown.
Park downtown for a quick stop
Side streets closest to Monterey Road have 20-minute spaces for quick stops downtown.
Walk the parks after the heat breaks
Morgan Hill park facilities, including the dog park, are open from 6 a.m. to 10 p.m., handy for an evening walk once the heat breaks.
Head for the lakes and hills
Anderson Lake County Park has boating, Coyote-Lake Harvey Bear Ranch Park has camping, and Henry W. Coe State Park is in the hills east of town.
Morgan Hill through the seasons
- Spring (March–May)
- Spring brings green hills, mild afternoons, and the first warm spells of the year. It is the best season for cycling and hiking the foothills before the grass dries.
- Summer (June–August)
- Summer afternoons are hot, dry, and sunny, though some mornings start gray. A breeze builds late in the day, and nights cool off quickly. Early mornings are the comfortable window for anything strenuous.
- Fall (September–November)
- Warm days often continue into October, and fall is a pleasant time for the wineries. Dry offshore wind days raise fire danger in the surrounding hills.
- Winter (December–February)
- Winter is cool and brings most of the year's rain. Clear nights between storms bring frost and chilly mornings on the valley floor.
Activities and the weather that matters
- Wine tasting: Tasting is comfortable most of the year, and warm, dry fall afternoons are the easiest days. Valley heat makes summer tastings better in the late afternoon or evening.
- Road cycling: Spring and fall mornings are best. Summer afternoons are hot, and the late-day valley wind can be a headwind.
- Boating on Anderson Lake: Calm summer mornings are best. Afternoon wind builds across the lake as the valley breeze arrives.
- Dining downtown: Warm, dry evenings make for patio dining from late spring into October.
Official sources and current conditions
- City of Morgan Hill
- Morgan Hill Parks and Open Space
- California State Parks: Henry W. Coe State Park
- AlertSCC: Santa Clara County emergency alerts
Numbers on this page come from NOAA data. The text draws on the official sources linked above.
Historical Climate Data
Long-term weather patterns and climate data
Data sources: Recent temperatures come from NOAA URMA and recent precipitation from NOAA Stage IV. Fog, cloud, wind, humidity, and sunshine come from NOAA HRRR, and long-term baselines from NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals.
Climate Overview
Based on NOAA 30-year temperature/rain normals (1991-2020) with recent fog/sun baseline
🌟 Best Months to Visit
⚠️ Challenging Months
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Comfort | High/Low | ☀️ Sun | 🌫️ Fog | 💧 Rain | Perfect |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2024 | 84 | 64.8° / 43.7° | 6.8h | 4d | 2.29" | 22 |
| December 2024 | 77 | 62.5° / 43.6° | 5.6h | 11d | 3.13" | 15 |
| January 2025 | 86 | 61.8° / 38.1° | 7.1h | 3d | 0.15" | 24 |
| February 2025 | 79 | 62.9° / 43.7° | 6.8h | 3d | 6.32" | 16 |
| March 2025 | 83 | 63.2° / 43.9° | 8.1h | 7d | 2.97" | 21 |
| April 2025 | 92 | 69.8° / 46.8° | 9.9h | 4d | 0.41" | 28 |
| May 2025 | 92 | 78.4° / 49.9° | 11.7h | 1d | 0.04" | 30 |
| June 2025 | 93 | 83° / 52.1° | 12.4h | 3d | 0" | 30 |
| July 2025 | 91 | 84.1° / 55.2° | 11.6h | 4d | 0" | 31 |
| August 2025 | 88 | 88.7° / 57° | 11h | 6d | 0" | 28 |
| September 2025 | 90 | 83.4° / 59.9° | 9.6h | 3d | 0.23" | 28 |
| October 2025 | 90 | 74.5° / 52° | 8.2h | 3d | 1.34" | 29 |
| November 2025 | 78 | 65.6° / 48° | 6.4h | 8d | 4.13" | 17 |
| December 2025 | 76 | 60.3° / 44.5° | 5.7h | 11d | 2.43" | 13 |
| January 2026 | 85 | 63.6° / 41.7° | 7.1h | 5d | 2.88" | 24 |
| February 2026 | 80 | 65.6° / 44.8° | 6.8h | 4d | 4.96" | 17 |
| March 2026 | 94 | 78.3° / 48.8° | 9.7h | 1d | 0" | 30 |
| April 2026 | 90 | 71° / 48.3° | 9.5h | 2d | 2.08" | 25 |
| May 2026 | 93 | 77° / 51.5° | 11.6h | 4d | 0.28" | 30 |
| June 2026 | 91 | 83.9° / 54.4° | 12.1h | 4d | 0" | 29 |
| July 2026 | 90 | 86.6° / 57.4° | 11.6h | 0d | 0" | 30 |
| August 2026 | 90 | 87.8° / 57.6° | 10.8h | 1d | 0.04" | 30 |
| September 2026 | 91 | 83.2° / 55.5° | 10.1h | 2d | 0.03" | 27 |
| October 2026 | 88 | 80.3° / 52.6° | 8.4h | 1d | 0.17" | 27 |
Climate Trends
Average Temperature by Month
About the Morgan Hill climate charts
The temperature chart compares average monthly highs and lows at Morgan Hill, showing both the seasonal cycle and the typical day-to-night range. The comfort chart summarizes how often the combined weather pattern is favorable rather than judging temperature alone.
Precipitation shows the total recorded or modeled rainfall for each month at Morgan Hill. Sunshine compares average bright-sky hours with the daylight available, while fog shows the average number of morning fog or low-cloud hours per day. Switch between the chart tabs to compare the same months across each measure.
Hourly Temperature, Fog, Wind, Cloud Cover, and Solar Radiation Patterns
Average local hour by month from 2014-09-30 to 2026-04-30
- Temperature: At Morgan Hill, the warmest typical hour is 3 PM in August (87°F). The coldest is 7 AM in December (43°F).
- Fog: Fog or low cloud covers Morgan Hill in 39% of 6 AM hours in July, the foggiest month. It usually thins to a third of that by 10 AM. February mornings are the least foggy (13%).
- Wind: From March through October, wind at Morgan Hill typically builds after 2 PM. In June it peaks around 6 PM, averaging 10 mph with 16% of those hours windy, while mornings average 6 mph.
- Cloud Cover: July middays are the clearest at Morgan Hill (5% average cloud cover), and January middays are the cloudiest (27%).
- Solar Radiation: The strongest typical sun at Morgan Hill comes at 1 PM in July, averaging 1004 W/m².
How to read the hourly heatmaps for Morgan Hill
This heatmap shows how average temperature at Morgan Hill changes by hour and month. Read left to right for the seasons and top to bottom for the time of day. Warmer colors mark the usual afternoon peaks, and cooler colors show overnight and winter lows.
This heatmap shows when fog or low cloud is most likely at Morgan Hill. Darker cells mark the months and hours when fog has been most common. They help separate overnight or morning fog from cloud that tends to linger into the afternoon.
This heatmap shows the typical hourly wind pattern at Morgan Hill through the year. It makes recurring afternoon wind, calmer overnight periods, and seasonal changes easier to compare than a single daily wind value.
This heatmap shows average cloud cover at Morgan Hill for every month and hour. Use it to see whether cloudiness is mainly an overnight and morning pattern or commonly persists during the part of the day you plan to visit.
This heatmap shows the average solar radiation reaching Morgan Hill by month and hour. Brighter cells indicate the strongest typical sun, while muted cells can reflect nighttime, shorter winter days, cloud cover, smoke, or terrain shading.
Each cell combines one month with one local hour. Hover over or focus on a cell for its value and sample coverage. The red marker shows the current month and hour.
How recent months compared at Morgan Hill
- October 2026 recap: October 2026 at Morgan Hill averaged a high of 80°F, 6°F warmer than October 2025 (75°F).
- Rain year: The 2025-26 rain year (Oct. 1 to Sep. 30) brought 18.2 in. of rain to Morgan Hill, 83% of the 21.9 in. normal.
Location Details
Morgan Hill weather questions
Everything you need to know about weather and visiting Morgan Hill
What is the weather like at Morgan Hill today?
It's 52°F at Morgan Hill right now, with a comfort score of 76 (great). Monday's forecast high at Morgan Hill is 55°F, 12°F below the mid November normal of 67°F. The best window today is 8 AM to 11 AM, at about 59°F with a 5 mph wind (comfort 83).
What is the best month to visit Morgan Hill?
By typical temperature, wind, cloud, humidity, and rain odds, the most comfortable months at Morgan Hill are June, September, and July. The best hours are usually 10 AM to 1 PM in June, 10 AM to 1 PM in September, and 9 AM to noon in July. The warm season lasts about 3 months, from Jun 28 to Sep 25, when the average high is 83°F or warmer. Highs peak around Aug 8 at about 86°F.
What are the warmest and coldest months at Morgan Hill?
August is the warmest month at Morgan Hill, with an average high of 86°F. December is the coldest, with an average low of 38°F.
When does the fog burn off at Morgan Hill?
Fog or low cloud covers Morgan Hill in 39% of 6 AM hours in July, the foggiest month. It usually thins to a third of that by 10 AM. February mornings are the least foggy (13%).
When is it windiest at Morgan Hill?
From March through October, wind at Morgan Hill typically builds after 2 PM. In June it peaks around 6 PM, averaging 10 mph with 16% of those hours windy, while mornings average 6 mph.
How much rain does Morgan Hill get?
January is the wettest month (4.7 in.), out of about 21.9 in. a year. The rainy season runs from Nov 19 to Apr 5, when a day has at least a 20% chance of measurable rain. That stretch brings 80% of the year's rain. The 2025-26 rain year (Oct. 1 to Sep. 30) brought 18.2 in. of rain to Morgan Hill, 83% of the 21.9 in. normal.
What kind of place is Morgan Hill?
Morgan Hill fills the narrow middle of the Santa Clara Valley about 10 miles south of San Jose. Here the Santa Cruz Mountains and the Diablo Range squeeze close together, and El Toro Peak rises right above the Civic Center. The city bills its downtown as South Silicon Valley's culinary and entertainment hub. The surrounding hills hold wineries on the Santa Clara Valley Wine Trail, Anderson Lake, and the entrance road to Henry W. Coe State Park.
What is Morgan Hill weather like in November?
November at Morgan Hill averages a high of 67°F and a low of 42°F, with 1.9 in. of rain over about 6 rainy days. About 14% of morning hours are foggy. Afternoon wind averages 6 mph.
More about Morgan Hill weather
Guides that explain the weather here and nearby
Data sources and methods
- Monthly temperatures and precipitation: NOAA 1991-2020 normals.
- Fog, cloud, wind, sun, and comfort by hour and month: NOAA's HRRR hourly analysis from September 2014 to April 2026.
- Daily records and recent months: NOAA URMA and HRRR analyses, plus NOAA Stage IV precipitation.
- Nearby comparisons and regional rankings use the same hourly HRRR summaries for every destination in the region.
- Alerts: National Weather Service. Tides and ocean temperature: NOAA CO-OPS, where shown.
- All statements on this page are computed from these datasets, apart from the “What shapes the weather” guide, which cites its sources inline.
- City of Morgan Hill, home page (El Toro Peak, downtown parking) (accessed 2026-10-27)
- City of Morgan Hill, Community (accessed 2026-10-27)
- City of Morgan Hill, Parks and Open Space (accessed 2026-10-27)
Rendered 2026-11-15T12:16:26.268Z.